1- Overview

1.1- Option context

What is the specific situation or context in which the option is being considered?
What are the goals or objectives that the option is intended to achieve, and how does it fit into the broader decision-making process?
Are there any constraints or limitations, such as time, resources, or legal or ethical considerations, that the option needs to take into account?
Who are the stakeholders, such as yourself, other individuals or groups, or the broader environment, that will be affected by the decision?

1.2- Option definition

What is the option you are considering, and how does it differ from other options or alternatives?
What is the rationale or justification for exploring this option, and what makes it worth considering?
Are there any assumptions or premises underlying the option, and how well-founded or supported are they by evidence or other information?
How does the option align with your personal values, beliefs, or goals, and how does it fit into your overall decision-making framework or strategy?

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2- Outcome analysis

2.1- Potential Upside

What could you gain by choosing this option?
What are the potential upsides of this option, and how likely are they to occur?
What factors or determinants will influence the potential upside of this option?
What is your desired outcome or goal if you choose this option, and how does it align with your broader objectives or values?
What are the potential second-order or downstream effects of the most likely desired outcome?
How confident are you in the potential upsides of this option, and why?

2.2- Potential Downside

What will you sacrifice, if you implement this option?
What are the potential downsides of this option, and how likely are they to occur?
What factors or determinants will influence the potential downside of this option?
What are the potential second-order or downstream effects of the most likely undesired outcome?
How concerned are you about the potential downsides of this option, and why?

2.3- Ideas to enhance this option

What are the things you should do to perfect this option and enhance its potential upsides?
Are there any additional ideas or suggestions that could improve this option or reduce its potential downsides?
How will you incorporate or implement these ideas or suggestions into your decision-making process?

2.4- Outcome future assessment

How will you evaluate or assess the outcome of your decision?
What criteria or metrics will you use to measure the success or effectiveness of your decision?
How will you compare the actual outcome to your desired outcome or goals, and what feedback or lessons will you learn from this comparison?

3- Reversibility

3.1- Reversibility costs

After choosing this option, can you choose another one or change it?
What are the costs or implications of reversing or undoing your decision, such as the time, resources, or effort required, or the potential negative impacts or consequences of changing course?
What will happen if you decide to change your decision at a later date, and how will this affect your outcome or goals?
How will you plan or prepare for the possibility of reversing or changing your decision, and what contingencies or safeguards will you put in place?

3.2- Reversibility analysis

How will you assess or evaluate the reversibility of your decision?
What criteria or factors will you consider, such as the feasibility, cost, or potential impacts of reversing your decision?
How will you compare the reversibility of this option to other options or alternatives, and what will you learn from this comparison?
What implications or conclusions will you draw from your analysis of the reversibility of your decision, and how will this inform your decision-making process?

4- Risks

4.1- Concrete risks

What risks or uncertainties does this option imply, and how likely are they to occur?
What are the potential consequences or impacts of these risks, and how would they affect your outcome or goals?
Are there any known or identified risks that you need to consider or address, such as legal, financial, or operational risks?
How will you assess or evaluate the risks of this option, and how will you compare them to other options or alternatives?

4.2- Risk mitigation

What measures or strategies will you implement to mitigate or reduce the risks of this option, and how will you monitor or control them over time?
Are there any existing frameworks or tools that you can use to identify, assess, or manage risks, such as risk registers, impact assessments, or risk assessments?
How will you involve or consult with other stakeholders or experts to help you identify or mitigate risks, and what feedback or input will you seek from them?
What contingencies or backup plans will you have in place in case the risks materialize or the situation changes, and how will you implement or activate these plans?

4.3- Your personal concerns/ Fear

Is failure to achieve the desired outcome of this option something you can consider or accept?
What would the failure of this option imply for you personally, such as financial loss, reputational damage, or disappointment?
Are you prepared or able to cope with the potential consequences of failure, and what support or resources will you need to do so?
What worries or concerns you the most about this option, and how will you address or overcome these fears?
Is it challenging or difficult for you to take this path or make this decision, and what factors or obstacles are hindering your progress?
How will you manage or cope with your personal concerns or fears, and what support or resources will you need to do so?
How will you balance or weigh your personal concerns or fears against the potential rewards or benefits of this option, and how will this influence your decision-making process?

5- Influencing parameters

5.1- External influences

What parameters or factors could influence the choice of this option, and how will they affect your decision-making process?
How will external influences, such as market trends, regulatory changes, or competitive pressures, impact the potential outcome of this option?
What feedback or information will you need to gather from external sources or stakeholders to help you understand these influences?
How will you incorporate or factor in external influences into your decision-making process, and how will you account for their uncertainty or variability?

5.2- Luck/Skill

How will luck or chance influence the outcome of this option, and how will you account for this uncertainty in your decision-making process?
What skills or abilities will you need to implement or execute this option effectively, and how will you develop or acquire these skills?
How will you balance or trade-off luck or chance against skill or ability, and what factors or criteria will you use to make this assessment?
How will you determine or judge the difficulty of your task or goal, and what benchmarks or standards will you use to measure your performance or progress?

5.3- Other influencing parameters

What other influencing parameters or factors will you need to consider or address in your decision-making process, and how will you assess or evaluate their importance or impact?
What uncertainties or unknowns are you facing in relation to this option, and how will you manage or cope with these uncertainties?
On which parameters or factors do you have poor control or influence, and how will you mitigate or reduce the risks or implications of this lack of control?
On which parameters or factors do you have good control or influence, and how will you leverage or optimize this control to achieve your desired outcome or goal?

6- Stress Testing the option

6.1- Digging deeper

What potential negative consequences could arise from choosing this option?
What are the potential unintended consequences of each potential outcome?
Have you considered all of the potential implications of each outcome?
Are there any hidden costs or risks associated with this option?

6.2- Contrarian view

What would be the most compelling argument against choosing this option?
Have you considered the perspective of stakeholders who might have different priorities or interests?
Are there any potential drawbacks or downsides to this option that you have not considered?
Have you sought out input from others who might have a different perspective on this option?

6.3- Expected outcome

What needs to happen for each potential outcome to be realized?
How confident are you in your predictions of each potential outcome?
Have you considered the potential impact of external factors on the likelihood of each outcome?
Have you accounted for potential changes in circumstances or conditions that could affect the outcome?

6.4- Stress test's result

Have you thoroughly tested this option under different scenarios or assumptions?
Have you considered the potential impact of unexpected events or contingencies on the outcomes of this option?
Are there any potential risks or drawbacks that could arise from choosing this option that you have not accounted for?
Based on your stress testing, do you feel confident in your decision to choose this option?

6.5- Stress testing assumptions

What assumptions are you making about the potential outcomes of this option?
Have you considered the potential impact of changing your assumptions on the outcomes of this option?
Are there any potential risks or drawbacks associated with your assumptions?
Have you considered the potential impact of your assumptions on the decision-making process?

7- Best plan to maximize the option

7.1- Robustness

What potential threats or vulnerabilities could compromise the success of this option?
- R1:
- R2:
- R3:
How likely are these threats or vulnerabilities to occur?
What steps can you take to mitigate or eliminate these threats or vulnerabilities?
- R1:
- R2:
- R3:
Are there any potential weaknesses in your plan that could be exploited by others?
Are the assumptions you are relying on robust?
- As1:
- As2:.
- As3:

7.2- Antifragility

What factors could cause this option to become less effective over time?
How can you make this option more resilient to changes in the environment or external factors?
What are the potential benefits of choosing this option in the long term?
How can you maximize the potential upsides of this option while minimizing the potential downsides?

7.3- Feedback

How will you monitor and evaluate the performance of this option over time?
What metrics or indicators will you use to measure the success or failure of this option?
How will you collect and analyze feedback from stakeholders or other interested parties?
What changes or adjustments will you make to your plan based on the feedback you receive?

7.4- Option maximization

What are the potential trade-offs or sacrifices that you will need to make in order to maximize the potential of this option?
How will you prioritize the various components of your plan to ensure that you are making the most effective use of your resources?
Are there any potential opportunities that you can capitalize on to maximize the potential of this option?
What additional information or resources do you need in order to fully realize the potential of this option?

7.5- Option comparison

How does this option compare to other options that you have considered?
What are the strengths and weaknesses of this option compared to the alternatives?
What factors or criteria are you using to evaluate the relative merits of different options?
Are there any additional factors or considerations that you need to take into account when comparing this option to others?

8- Option summary & Redefinition

8.1- Complementary information to gather

What additional information or data do you need in order to make a more informed decision about this option?
Where can you find this information or data?
Who can you talk to or consult with to gather additional insights or perspectives on this option?
What resources or tools can you use to help you gather and analyze the additional information you need?

8.2- Option scoring

What criteria or factors will you use to evaluate and compare the different options you are considering?
How will you assign weights or importance to each of these criteria or factors?
How will you score or rate each option based on these criteria or factors?
- U1-
- U2-
- U3- | | U1 | U2 | U3 | General | | ---- | --- | --- | --- | ------- | | Cr1: | | --- | --- | | | Cr2 | | | | | | Cr3: | | | | | | Cr4: | | | | | | Cr5: | | | | |
How will you combine the individual scores to produce an overall score or rating for each option?

8.3- Option utility

What are the potential benefits or advantages of choosing this option?
What are the potential drawbacks or disadvantages of choosing this option?
How do the potential benefits and drawbacks of this option compare to those of the other options you are considering?
Are there any potential unintended consequences or risks associated with choosing this option?

8.4- Option evaluation

Based on your evaluation of this option, do you believe it is the best choice given your goals and priorities?
Are there any potential drawbacks or downsides to this option that you have not considered?
How confident are you in your evaluation of this option?
Are there any additional factors or considerations that you need to take into account before making a final decision?