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AOT-0-Decision Making Preliminary

Authors

1- Identifying the problem or issue requiring a decision

1.1- Defining the decision

  • Are you facing a decision that is imposed on you or one related to an issue you have identified?
    • Rationale
      • A decision related to an issue is one that you bring to the table yourself to solve a problem you have identified.
      • An imposed decision is one that will require a choice regardless of whether you have identified the issue or not.
  • What is the subject or focus of your decision?
  • Can you break your decision or problem down into smaller, more manageable decisions or problems?

1.2- Understanding the decision

  • What is the default course of action in this situation? What will happen if you do not make a decision?
  • Are there events or circumstances that your decision depends on or is influenced by?

1.3- The time component

  • What is the deadline for making your decision?
  • Is the time factor important in your decision?
  • Would it be better to wait until the last moment to make your decision?

1.4- The rationale behind the decision

  • Why do you need to make a decision in this situation?
  • Why do you want to make this particular decision?

2- Goals, values, and criteria

2.1- Goals

  • Are you the one making this decision?
    • If so, what do you aim to achieve by making this decision?
    • Are these goals aligned with your values and ultimate goals?
  • How does this decision relate to your overall goals? Which of your ultimate goals are most likely to be impacted by the decision, positively or negatively?
  • How does the decision impact your general goals? Sort the impacts into positive and negative categories. Assign a score to each of your general goals affected by the decision.
  • Which of your general goals is most closely related to this decision?

2.2- Values

  • Which of your values could play a role in this decision?

2.3- People

  • Are there other people who will be impacted by this decision? Who are they? Why will they be impacted?
  • What do the people who will be impacted by the decision want?
  • Can those people influence this decision? In what way?

2.4- Criteria

  • What criteria do you want to use to assess your decision?
  • Are the criteria in line with your general criteria for decision making? [[117-Your General Criteria]]
  • Is aligning with your values an important criterion for this decision?
  • Is aligning with other people's goals an important criterion for this decision? Whose opinion should you weigh more heavily?
  • What weight do you attribute to each criterion?

3- Importance of your decision

3.1 Importance

  • How crucial is this decision?
  • What potential effects could this decision have?

3.2 Impact

  • What is at risk with this decision?
  • How is this decision likely to affect your life?
  • What values of yours may be impacted by this decision?
  • On a scale of 0 to 10, how significant do you believe this decision to be?
  • What consequences will this decision have on others?

3.3 Time allocation

  • How much time do you plan to spend making this decision?

4 Reframing the question

  • Based on your goal and the impact of the decision, are you confident that you are addressing the correct problem? Does this decision reflect a different, underlying issue or decision?
  • Should you rephrase the question?

5 Options

  • What are the different choices you have to make with this decision?
    • Choice 1:
    • Choice 2:
    • ...
  • How do these choices combine? What different courses of action or options do these combinations create?
    • Option 1:
    • Option 2:
    • Option 3:
    • Option 4:
    • Option 5:
    • Option 6:
    • Option 7:
    • Option 8:
  • Is your decision a choice between two options?
  • How many options do you have?
  • Are all of your options feasible? Assign them a feasibility score. How confident are you in each score you assigned?
    • Option 1:
    • Option 2:
    • Option 3:
    • Option 4:
    • Option 5:
    • Option 6:
    • Option 7:
    • Option 8:
  • Does the chosen option require effective implementation to be successful?
  • Are you fully in control of the outcome implied by the chosen option?
  • What is not under your control in the realization of the option?

6- Analysing the options

6.1- Feasibility

  • Which of your options are the most feasible? Why?
  • How do the feasibility scores of your options compare to each other?
  • What are the constraints that limit the feasibility of your options?

6.2- Risk and uncertainty

  • What are the potential risks and uncertainties associated with each of your options?
  • How can you mitigate or manage these risks and uncertainties?
  • How do the risks and uncertainties associated with each option compare to each other?

6.3- Return on investment

  • What are the potential returns on investment associated with each of your options?
  • How do the returns on investment of your options compare to each other?
  • What is the expected value of each of your options?

6.4- Compatibility with existing systems

  • How do your options align with your existing systems, processes, and infrastructure?
  • What changes or adaptations would be required to implement each of your options?
  • How do the compatibility of your options with existing systems compare to each other?

6.5- Impact on employees

  • How would each of your options impact your employees?
  • What are the potential consequences of each option on employee morale, satisfaction, and productivity?
  • How do the impacts on employees of your options compare to each other?

6.6- Impact on stakeholders

  • How would each of your options impact your stakeholders, such as customers, partners, suppliers, and shareholders?
  • What are the potential consequences of each option on stakeholder relationships, loyalty, and trust?
  • How do the impacts on stakeholders of your options compare to each other?

6.7- Short-term and long-term effects

  • What are the potential short-term and long-term effects of each of your options?
  • How do the short-term and long-term effects of your options compare to each other?
  • What are the potential consequences of each option on the sustainability and growth of your business?

6.8- Alternatives

  • Are there any alternative options that you have not considered?
  • How do these alternative options compare to your existing options in terms of feasibility, risk, return on investment, compatibility, impact on employees, impact on stakeholders, short-term and long-term effects?
  • How do these alternative options align with your goals, values, and criteria?

7- Selecting the option

[[AOT-1-Option Analysis]]

  • Based on your analysis, which of your options is the best choice?

8- Implementing the option

[[AOT-2-Best Plan]]

8.1- Plan

  • What is your plan to implement the selected option?
  • What are the key steps and milestones of your plan?
  • What resources, such as time, money, and personnel, do you need to implement your plan?
  • What challenges and obstacles do you expect to encounter during the implementation of your plan?
  • How will you monitor and evaluate the progress and success of your plan?

8.2- Execution

  • How will you communicate your decision and plan to implement it to relevant parties, such as employees, stakeholders, and customers?
  • How will you mobilize and engage your employees, stakeholders, and customers to support and participate in the implementation of your plan?
  • How will you manage and address any risks, uncertainties, or challenges that arise during the implementation of your plan?
  • How will you adjust and adapt your plan based on feedback, data, and insights from the implementation process?

8.3- Evaluation

  • What are the success metrics and criteria that you will use to evaluate the outcome of your plan?
  • How will you collect and analyze data and feedback to measure the success of your plan?
  • How will you learn from the results of your plan, and what adjustments and improvements will you make based on this learning?

9- Reflecting on the decision

  • What did you learn from the decision making and implementation process?
  • What worked well, and what could have been improved?
  • What insights and lessons can you apply to future decisions?

10- Exploring States

  • See [[AOT-15-Forecasting]]